Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:08:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b7d…ebc1
crypto · 378 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$199 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$151 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses203 / 175
Open positions0
Markets (closed)378 / 378
History coverage42d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 378 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days+$105
14 days+$71
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 6? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$6 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$36
weather 13% +$147
world 1% −$30
other 1% −$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $18 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $19 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $16 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $19 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +6.5% -3.6% 82% 80% -3.9%
≤30d 261 -2.5% -11.7% 67% 61% -5.1%
≤90d 378 +12.4% +1.7% 54% 48% -3.8%
all 378 +12.4% +1.7% 54% 48% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.7% 48% -3.8%
10% -8.0% 32% -13.0%
15% -16.9% 16% -21.4%
20% -25.1% 14% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 988 history records