trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +47.3% | +33.2% | 100% | 100% | +20.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 67% | 67% | +0.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -17.4% | -25.3% | 50% | 50% | -33.1% |
| all | 31 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 58% | 48% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 48% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 45% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 39% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 29% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States to score first vs. Türkiye? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $8 | +$3 (+64%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 55¢ | 6¢ | $70 | $7 | −$63 (-90%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico to score first vs. Czechia? | Jun 26 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $100 | −$30 | -30% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 30 | $20 | +$20 | +101% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Apr 10 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Mar 24 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Mar 24 | $10 | +$8 | +81% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Mar 24 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Mar 24 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 10 | $70 | +$30 | +43% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Dec 27 | $74 | +$3 | +4% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Dec 27 | $25 | +$23 | +92% |
| Lakers vs. Celtics | Dec 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Nov 29 | $59 | +$12 | +20% |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | Nov 29 | $15 | +$43 | +285% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2AM ET | Oct 15 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7PM ET | Oct 15 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Oct 15 | $15 | +$13 | +89% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | Oct 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6PM ET | Oct 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | Oct 14 | $5 | +$10 | +193% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5PM ET | Oct 14 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 202 | Oct 03 | $9 | −$6 | -62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET | Oct 03 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2AM ET | Oct 03 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7PM ET | Oct 02 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET | Oct 02 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 202 | Oct 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |