Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T10:35:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b6f…7fb9 crypto 979 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (509 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,931 (+1%) realized +$1,931 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%972W / 6L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$180per market
Trades / day509.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$51now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$897
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (509 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 978 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 978 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 978 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
all 978 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover509.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 0% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$169 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.88 per $1 lost it wins $1.88
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$51
Realized+$1,931
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses972 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)978 / 979
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$180
Trades / day509.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 978 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $59 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $161 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $68 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $154 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $168 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $178 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $164 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $172 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $184 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $126 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $63 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.80 · official $50.80 (match) · 3500 history records