Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:57:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b5f…3492
sports · 580 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,618 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,625 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$112
Realized−$7,625
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses281 / 298
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$986
Open positions1
Markets (closed)579 / 580
History coverage143d
Avg bet$224
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$332
7 days+$254
14 days−$230
30 days−$2,421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 32¢ 34¢ $106 $112 +$6 (+6%)
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 Gen.G Esports 59¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 65¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago Cubs 54¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 78¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 66¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs KeepBest Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 41¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner Invictus Gaming 75¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 58¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 61¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 41¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner REBORN 76¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Team Vitality 60¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 60¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $69 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$12 -25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $44 +$4 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $129 +$97 +75%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $212 +$19 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $91 +$19 +22%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $103 +$68 +66%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $111 +$51 +46%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $76 +$38 +51%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $70 +$21 +30%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $124 +$47 +38%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $79 +$49 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $185 −$74 -40%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $81 +$49 +60%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $111 −$20 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $91 +$37 +41%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $111 −$10 -9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$72 +72%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $94 −$56 -60%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $81 −$80 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $53 +$28 +53%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $83 +$30 +36%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $160 −$9 -5%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $139 −$137 -99%
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: P Jun 05 $81 −$40 -50%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $116 −$49 -42%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $58 −$6 -10%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $111 −$91 -82%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 02 $200 +$44 +22%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $122 −$47 -39%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $110 +$41 +38%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner May 31 $9 −$7 -75%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $100 −$99 -99%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q May 31 $367 −$124 -34%
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifi May 31 $111 +$122 +110%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $125 −$82 -66%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 25 $58 −$58 -99%
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winner May 25 $70 −$12 -17%
Valorant: Joblife vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs May 25 $489 −$277 -57%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $202 +$49 +24%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 25 $175 −$173 -99%
Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner May 25 $105 −$104 -99%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series May 25 $124 +$87 +70%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $202 +$85 +42%
Valorant: All Gamers vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - China Evolution Series May 25 $125 +$51 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7,416
crypto 0% −$68
other 0% −$135
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 64¢ $69 3m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 28¢ $38 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 47¢ $37 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 61¢ $50 18m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 34¢ $70 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $66 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 64¢ $2 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 23¢ $46 51m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 20¢ $41 59m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 61¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $225 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 76¢ $137 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $75 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 53¢ $54 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $101 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $110 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 81¢ $91 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 99¢ $171 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 59¢ $103 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 61¢ $94 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 70¢ $111 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 68¢ $111 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $114 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 65¢ $76 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 74¢ $91 19h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 99¢ $171 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 56¢ $70 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +1.6% -8.0% 67% 52% +1.5%
≤30d 111 -12.2% -20.6% 47% 43% -21.5%
≤90d 340 -5.0% -14.0% 49% 42% -17.1%
all 579 -3.7% -12.9% 49% 42% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 42% -14.8%
10% -21.2% 35% -23.0%
15% -28.8% 27% -30.4%
20% -35.8% 15% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $112.25 · official $112.25 (match) · 1629 history records