Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b5a…6adf
crypto · 1542 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$339 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$339 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$339
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses799 / 743
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1542 / 1542
History coverage107d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1542 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$98
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 31 $2 +$2 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 31 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 31 $2 +$5 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 30 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 30 $4 +$6 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 30 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$357
other 3% +$14
sports 1% +$2
culture 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -12.1% -20.4% 35% 35% -14.5%
≤30d 569 -13.9% -22.1% 46% 46% -21.1%
≤90d 1505 -6.3% -15.2% 51% 43% -14.5%
all 1542 -5.3% -14.4% 52% 44% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 44% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 34% -22.3%
15% -30.0% 27% -29.8%
20% -36.9% 22% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3437 history records