trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 60% | 60% | +16.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 60% | 60% | +16.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 60% | 60% | +16.0% |
| all | 33 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 52% | 52% | +6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 52% | +6.9% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 33% | -3.4% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 24% | -12.7% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 24% | -21.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shots | Yes | 92¢ | 48¢ | $275 | $144 | −$131 (-48%) |
| Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots | Yes | 76¢ | 78¢ | $58 | $59 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shots | Yes | 61¢ | 50¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-18%) |
| Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals | Yes | 30¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 2+ shots | Jun 25 | $20 | +$25 | +124% |
| Lee Kangin: 1+ shots | Jun 25 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 1+ shots | Jun 25 | $50 | +$15 | +29% |
| Adam Hložek: 1+ shots | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Evidence Makgopa: 3+ shots | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Scott McTominay: 5+ shots | Jun 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $63 | −$17 | -27% |
| Scott McTominay: 3+ shots | Jun 25 | $10 | +$21 | +206% |
| Scott McTominay: 2+ shots | Jun 25 | $28 | +$28 | +98% |
| Scott McTominay: 1+ shots | Jun 25 | $126 | +$30 | +24% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 3.5 Corners | Jun 25 | $5 | +$7 | +140% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5 Corners | Jun 25 | $15 | +$5 | +32% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots | Jun 24 | $30 | +$16 | +52% |
| Scott McTominay: 1+ goals | Jun 24 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ shots | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots | Jun 24 | $30 | +$4 | +13% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots | Jun 24 | $20 | +$4 | +22% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots AND James Rodríguez: 1+ shots AND Jhon Arias: 1+ s | Jun 24 | $102 | +$108 | +106% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $101 | +$22 | +22% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $16 | +$11 | +65% |
| Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA | Jun 23 | $14 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$2 | -15% |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | Oct 07 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | Oct 07 | $40 | +$5 | +14% |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Oct 07 | $19 | −$4 | -23% |
| Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November? | Oct 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Israel military response against Iran today? | Oct 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | Oct 04 | $19 | −$16 | -86% |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | Sep 30 | $10 | +$15 | +151% |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Sep 21 | $30 | −$1 | -2% |