Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b53…63ec
crypto · 1808 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$113 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$111
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1472 / 334
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1806 / 1808
History coverage86d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$69
14 days+$23
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$31 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$113
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 +0.4% -9.2% 53% 49% -1.6%
≤30d 748 -1.4% -10.8% 75% 43% -8.0%
≤90d 1806 -2.0% -11.3% 82% 32% -10.0%
all 1806 -2.0% -11.3% 82% 32% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 32% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 23% -18.7%
15% -27.5% 15% -26.5%
20% -34.6% 11% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.14 · official $4.14 (match) · 3500 history records