Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:08:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b49…1762
other · 12 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6,997 -60%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,083 · open −$59
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$541
Realized−$7,083
Unrealized−$59
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses3 / 7
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions2
Markets (closed)10 / 12
History coverage2d
Avg bet$977
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 2 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,933
7 days−$7,083
14 days−$7,083
30 days−$7,083
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $500 $491 −$9 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $100 $50 −$50 (-50%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $8,000 $0 −$8,000 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,021 +$524 +51%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 13 $207 −$200 -96%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $207 −$200 -96%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $206 −$200 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $207 −$200 -96%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8,123 −$8,000 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $770 +$843 +110%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $206 +$500 +242%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$7,432
sports 8% +$291
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $104 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $516 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,545 13h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 9¢ $207 24h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $207 24h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1,021 24h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $206 24h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $207 24h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $8,123 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,612 39h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $706 44h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $52 2d
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $104 2d
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $206 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $770 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-36.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -29.7% -36.4% 30% 30% -68.1%
≤30d 10 -29.7% -36.4% 30% 30% -68.1%
≤90d 10 -29.7% -36.4% 30% 30% -68.1%
all 10 -29.7% -36.4% 30% 30% -68.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.4% 30% -68.1%
10% -42.5% 30% -71.1%
15% -48.0% 30% -73.9%
20% -53.1% 30% -76.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $541.29 · official $541.29 (match) · 15 history records