Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b49…04a8
sports · 261 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$73,836 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73,876 · open +$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$485
Realized−$73,876
Unrealized+$39
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses182 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$15,992
Open positions3
Markets (closed)258 / 261
History coverage31d
Avg bet$8,482
Trades / day110.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15,822
7 days+$41,776
14 days+$27,657
30 days−$67,131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes 84¢ 92¢ $367 $404 +$37 (+10%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 90¢ $69 $70 +$1 (+2%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 71¢ 78¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 67¢ 0¢ $10,742 $0 −$10,742 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Ozarox Esports 74¢ 0¢ $2,220 $0 −$2,220 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 66¢ 0¢ $6,941 $0 −$6,941 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 54¢ 0¢ $2,277 $0 −$2,277 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 74¢ 0¢ $9,917 $0 −$9,917 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 80¢ 0¢ $7,950 $0 −$7,950 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner EDward Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $2,587 $0 −$2,587 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 72¢ 0¢ $14,110 $0 −$14,110 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 34¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $5,745 $0 −$5,745 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 78¢ 0¢ $16,000 $0 −$16,000 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 75¢ 0¢ $5,292 $0 −$5,292 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 81¢ 0¢ $20,535 $0 −$20,535 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX 56¢ 0¢ $11,471 $0 −$11,471 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 90¢ 0¢ $9,933 $0 −$9,933 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 47¢ 0¢ $2,470 $0 −$2,470 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $7,941 $0 −$7,941 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 76¢ 0¢ $7,650 $0 −$7,650 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 63¢ 0¢ $12,763 $0 −$12,763 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 76¢ 0¢ $14,557 $0 −$14,557 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5,073 +$656 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $23,937 +$1,240 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5,037 +$1,576 +31%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $14,229 +$4,106 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,966 +$4,133 +83%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5,045 +$2,098 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5,043 +$1,999 +40%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $54 +$4 +8%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $43 +$10 +24%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $40 +$1 +3%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $38 +$4 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $40,258 +$9,113 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $33,940 +$4,155 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $7,079 +$5,738 +81%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $20,125 +$5,934 +30%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2,520 −$2,500 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $27,101 +$18,102 +67%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $11,413 +$6,849 +60%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $11,706 −$11,706 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $23,175 −$22,931 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $14,895 +$8,494 +57%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $19,363 +$1,618 +8%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $10,848 −$10,742 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $16,106 −$16,000 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7,554 +$5,281 +70%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12,513 +$1,713 +14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $12,153 +$5,539 +46%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10,892 +$4,773 +44%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $1,861 +$52 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,371 +$149 +6%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2,520 +$904 +36%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $12,721 +$5,507 +43%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $14,317 +$1,936 +14%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $20,521 +$6,492 +32%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $13,570 +$6,980 +51%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $16,863 −$16,861 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $12,111 +$4,752 +39%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $5,395 −$5,337 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $12,692 +$3,327 +26%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 06 $1,362 +$168 +12%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $4,428 +$1,039 +24%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $3,360 −$10 -0%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $7,416 +$2,334 +32%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $6,394 +$1,087 +17%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $5,995 +$898 +15%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $107 −$83 -77%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $26,465 +$4,414 +17%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $23,000 +$3,465 +15%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $19,250 +$3,750 +20%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $10,344 +$3,759 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$75,972
other 0% +$2,098
tech 0% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $5,729 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $25,177 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $55 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $23,937 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $5,018 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $6,613 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $5,037 4h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $18,335 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $9,099 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $213 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $1,713 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $2,028 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $1,013 6h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 71¢ $10 9h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 77¢ $9,141 9h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 77¢ $5,034 9h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 84¢ $369 22h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $5,043 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5,045 23h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $58 26h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY KT Rolster Challengers 92¢ $54 31h
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA BUY LOS 80¢ $43 2d
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B BUY KT Rolster Challengers 97¢ $40 3d
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 91¢ $38 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $49,371 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $38,095 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $27,803 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $90 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $94 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $1,213 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +7.6% -2.7% 82% 66% -1.6%
≤30d 240 -5.9% -14.8% 70% 60% -12.4%
≤90d 258 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 60% -12.4%
all 258 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 60% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 60% -12.4%
10% -22.8% 44% -20.8%
15% ← realistic here -30.2% 27% -28.4%
20% -37.1% 14% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $484.75 · official $484.75 (match) · 3500 history records