Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0x9b3f…2e7c

finance · 6 markets active 1h ago

0.0score

−$20 -11%

TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$6

avoidriskycopy

✗ TRAP finance specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$18

Realized−$26

Unrealized+$6

Win rate (resolved)20%

Wins / losses1 / 4

Open positions1

Markets (closed)5 / 6

History coverage12d

Avg bet$31

Trades / day1.4

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$5

7 days−$26

14 days−$26

30 days−$26

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?	Up	60¢	88¢	$12	$18	+$6 (+47%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?	Up	90¢	0¢	$12	$0	−$12 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?	Up	60¢	0¢	$12	$0	−$12 (-100%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11?	Jun 11	$12	+$5	+41%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?	Jun 10	$12	−$12	-98%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?	Jun 09	$12	−$12	-100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Jun 09	$137	−$7	-5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Jun 02	$1	$0	-16%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

finance 100% −$20

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?	BUY Up	60¢	$12	1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11?	BUY Up	70¢	$12	25h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?	BUY Up	60¢	$12	2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?	BUY Up	90¢	$12	3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	31¢	$0	3d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	25¢	$28	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	25¢	$14	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	BUY Yes	28¢	$45	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	BUY Yes	28¢	$2	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	28¢	$49	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	28¢	$9	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	28¢	$1	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	SELL Yes	28¢	$29	8d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	BUY Yes	29¢	$45	9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	BUY Yes	28¢	$45	9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	SELL Yes	59¢	$1	9d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	BUY Yes	68¢	$1	11d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

negative after costs — do not copy

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +20%

net ROI/market (all)-42.0%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	4	-40.9%	-46.5%	25%	25%	-22.9%
≤30d	5	-35.9%	-42.0%	20%	20%	-22.9%
≤90d	5	-35.9%	-42.0%	20%	20%	-22.9%
all	5	-35.9%	-42.0%	20%	20%	-22.9%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover1.4 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-42.0%	20%	-22.9%
10%	-47.5%	20%	-30.3%
15%	-52.6%	20%	-37.0%
20%	-57.3%	0%	-43.2%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

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