Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b37…0eb2
sports · 764 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$686 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$621 · open −$61
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$486
Realized−$621
Unrealized−$61
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses426 / 472
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions123
Markets (closed)898 / 764
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day553.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 123 History 898 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$663
7 days−$621
14 days−$621
30 days−$621
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 89¢ 88¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 43¢ 42¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $15 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 76¢ 74¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 10¢ 100¢ $1 $11 +$10 (+892%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5 Over 98¢ 98¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Over 92¢ 91¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Over 77¢ 75¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 40¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-11%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 87¢ 88¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 52¢ 52¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 72¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 56¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 69¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 90¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+72%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 94¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Iraq 40¢ 40¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 72¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 13 $2 −$4 -212%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $1 $0 -26%
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -103%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $1 −$1 -105%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +115%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 13 $1 $0 -31%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$101
other 20% −$159
crypto 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 79¢ $2 0m
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 76¢ $1 2m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 48¢ $2 2m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $2 6m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $3 6m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $4 6m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $1 16m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $4 21m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $3 22m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 24m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 29¢ $2 32m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 88¢ $1 35m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $1 40m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $1 40m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $2 45m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 47m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $1 49m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 69¢ $1 50m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 52m
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 33¢ $1 53m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 98¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 4¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 898 -17.4% -25.2% 47% 31% -22.3%
≤30d 898 -17.4% -25.2% 47% 31% -22.3%
≤90d 898 -17.4% -25.2% 47% 31% -22.3%
all 898 -17.4% -25.2% 47% 31% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover553.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 31% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.4% 22% -29.8%
15% -38.9% 15% -36.6%
20% -44.9% 10% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $486.04 · official $482.48 (match) · 3500 history records