Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b2e…34cb
other · 24 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$61 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$55
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses18 / 5
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions1
Markets (closed)23 / 24
History coverage4d
Avg bet$233
Trades / day88.4
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 1 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$48
14 days+$48
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 55¢ 66¢ $46 $55 +$9 (+19%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 45¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $110 +$35 +32%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $426 +$5 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $756 +$18 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $244 −$46 -19%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $37 +$8 +23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $300 +$3 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $190 −$4 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $241 +$2 +1%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $257 +$3 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $425 +$4 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $215 +$4 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $127 −$1 -1%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $200 +$6 +3%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $100 +$3 +3%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $100 +$29 +28%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 $0 +4%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $472 −$23 -5%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 $0 +8%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $29 −$3 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$24
sports 43% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 40¢ $23 22m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $25 25m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $14 25m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $11 25m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 44¢ $25 25m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $52 25m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $25 25m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $25 26m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $25 36m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $6 36m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 56¢ $25 41m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 44¢ $25 41m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 45m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 54¢ $177 46m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $29 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $84 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $23 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $1 49m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 50m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $31 50m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 54¢ $8 52m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 54¢ $75 54m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $3 54m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 55¢ $22 54m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $30 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)+18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +31.2% +18.7% 78% 13% -8.5%
≤30d 23 +31.2% +18.7% 78% 13% -8.5%
≤90d 23 +31.2% +18.7% 78% 13% -8.5%
all 23 +31.2% +18.7% 78% 13% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.7% 13% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here +7.3% 13% -17.2%
15% -3.0% 4% -25.2%
20% -12.6% 4% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.58 · official $54.58 (match) · 405 history records