Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b2b…777c
crypto · 340 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$3,082 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,373 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,373
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses184 / 156
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)340 / 340
History coverage72d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 340 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Jun 14 $3 $0 -7%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +596%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +388%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$4 +30%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $24 −$23 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 28 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 28 $21 −$14 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 28 $51 +$24 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 28 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 28 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 28 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 28 $71 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 28 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 28 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 28 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 28 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 28 $20 −$17 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 28 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 28 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 28 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 28 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 28 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Apr 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Apr 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Apr 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 17 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 17 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Apr 17 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Apr 17 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 17 $9 +$6 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$2,090
weather 1% +$321
other 0% −$32
sports 0% −$6
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 0¢ $0 38m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 3¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 55m
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 2¢ $1 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 16¢ $9 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $3 13h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 13h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 13h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 26h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $13 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $1 2d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 2d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2d
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +34.7% +21.9% 39% 33% -38.6%
≤30d 36 +20.0% +8.6% 56% 50% -20.6%
≤90d 340 +7.0% -3.2% 54% 51% -2.2%
all 340 +7.0% -3.2% 54% 51% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 51% -2.2%
10% -12.4% 43% -11.5%
15% -20.9% 35% -20.1%
20% -28.7% 27% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1160 history records