Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b28…0ed2
other · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$126 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$190 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$1,097
Realized−$190
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses8 / 21
Est. fees paid−$53
Open positions9
Markets (closed)29 / 39
History coverage4d
Avg bet$156
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 9 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$391
7 days−$190
14 days−$190
30 days−$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $500 $472 −$28 (-6%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $200 $197 −$3 (-1%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $91 $90 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $78 $75 −$3 (-4%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $50 $60 +$10 (+21%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Yes $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Yes $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 10¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 10¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ $592 $0 −$592 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Over $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $203 −$12 -6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $222 +$320 +144%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $51 +$306 +596%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $506 −$500 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $51 −$25 -49%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $191 −$188 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $154 −$150 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $599 −$592 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Jun 13 $267 +$133 +50%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $153 +$493 +321%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $253 +$173 +68%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $94 −$1 -1%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $102 +$2 +2%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 −$8 -8%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $231 −$226 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $306 +$504 +165%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $129 −$9 -7%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $372 +$519 +139%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $405 −$400 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% −$203
other 48% −$19
crypto 3% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 29m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 55¢ $190 30m
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 16¢ $42 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $204 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 57¢ $203 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 12¢ $80 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes $51 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $511 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $51 18h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes $51 18h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $506 18h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 40¢ $222 18h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL Yes $26 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $191 25h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $51 25h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 25h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $154 25h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Over $51 25h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $400 25h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $51 31h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $51 31h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $199 31h
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? BUY No 66¢ $267 42h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $51 42h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 42h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 99¢ $646 42h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $427 42h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $93 42h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 38¢ $104 42h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 29¢ $102 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -6.3% -15.3% 28% 24% -13.0%
≤30d 29 -6.3% -15.3% 28% 24% -13.0%
≤90d 29 -6.3% -15.3% 28% 24% -13.0%
all 29 -6.3% -15.3% 28% 24% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 24% -13.0%
10% -23.4% 24% -21.4%
15% -30.8% 24% -29.0%
20% -37.6% 21% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,097.19 · official $1,097.19 (match) · 60 history records