Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b20…f7dd
crypto · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$76 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses44 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage96d
Avg bet$252
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Down 32¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $506 $0 −$506 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $173 −$173 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$18 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $257 −$83 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $153 +$49 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$78 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$22 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$34 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$20 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $208 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,342 −$1,075 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2,447 −$2,071 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$10 +26%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 13 $100 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $528 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $531 −$506 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,329 +$441 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,139 +$695 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $823 +$675 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,277 +$937 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $701 −$584 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $823 +$641 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $259 +$247 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $341 +$66 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $614 +$314 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$71 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $614 +$340 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $538 +$49 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $409 +$139 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $265 +$158 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $159 +$104 +65%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $49 −$48 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $80 +$105 +131%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June? Jun 09 $61 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $36 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 08 $61 +$16 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 08 $46 +$38 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $25 +$3 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $66 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $66 +$14 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $41 +$13 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $20 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$131
world 1% +$104
other 0% −$1
finance 0% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $21 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $14 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $179 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +0.4% -9.1% 66% 58% -9.9%
≤30d 65 +0.4% -9.1% 66% 58% -9.9%
≤90d 66 -1.1% -10.5% 65% 58% -10.0%
all 67 +0.7% -8.9% 66% 58% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 58% -9.9%
10% -17.6% 43% -18.5%
15% -25.6% 27% -26.4%
20% -32.9% 24% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 501 history records