Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T12:48:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b1f…78c7 crypto 106 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3396 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$338 (-1%) realized −$322 · open −$16
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate49%51W / 54L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$264per market
Trades / day3396.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$445now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3396 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +13.0% +2.2% 49% 21% -9.4%
≤30d 105 +13.0% +2.2% 49% 21% -9.4%
≤90d 105 +13.0% +2.2% 49% 21% -9.4%
all 105 +13.0% +2.2% 49% 21% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3396.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.2% 21% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -7.5% 8% -18.0%
15% -16.5% 5% -26.0%
20% -24.7% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +26% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
32.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$26 · ×1.09 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$445
Realized−$322
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses51 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)105 / 106
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$264
Trades / day3396.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 105 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 62¢ 74¢ $298 $352 +$53 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 31¢ 26¢ $109 $93 −$16 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $234 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $326 −$68 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 25 $621 +$30 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 25 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 25 $490 −$32 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 25 $318 −$33 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 25 $435 +$40 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $772 +$63 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 25 $469 +$97 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 25 $526 −$56 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 25 $72 −$29 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 25 $137 −$17 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 25 $174 −$15 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 25 $103 −$41 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $81 +$30 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 25 $50 +$17 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 25 $310 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $242 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 25 $70 −$13 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $159 +$64 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $284 −$13 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 25 $339 −$23 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $186 +$27 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $451 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $146 +$26 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $112 +$37 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $346 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $214 −$14 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 25 $157 +$61 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $182 +$28 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $206 +$20 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $136 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $219 −$27 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $245 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $317 −$14 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $262 −$30 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $346 −$51 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $334 −$44 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $240 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 25 $190 +$37 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $261 +$37 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $342 −$17 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $235 −$22 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $383 +$16 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $210 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $366 +$24 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 25 $236 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $242 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $488 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 25 $268 −$15 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $78 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $83 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $127 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $444.72 · official $414.19 · 3500 history records