trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +16.8% | +5.7% | 33% | 33% | -51.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +182.1% | +155.2% | 33% | 33% | -28.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +182.1% | +155.2% | 33% | 33% | -28.3% |
| all | 24 | +26.1% | +14.1% | 46% | 33% | -28.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.1% | 33% | -28.7% |
| 10% | +3.1% | 29% | -35.5% |
| 15% | -6.8% | 25% | -41.7% |
| 20% | -16.0% | 21% | -47.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $18 | $21 | +$3 (+19%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-37%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $2,455 | −$2,395 | -98% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $689 | −$680 | -99% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $552 | +$1,368 | +248% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $872 | −$233 | -27% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $3,423 | −$179 | -5% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $12,756 | +$953 | +8% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Oct 09 | $142 | −$142 | -100% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | Oct 09 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Oct 08 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Oct 03 | $11 | +$3 | +27% |
| Litecoin ETF approved in 2025? | Sep 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Litecoin ETF approved by July 31? | Aug 01 | $70 | +$49 | +70% |
| Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch? | Jul 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win? | Jul 30 | $5 | +$2 | +49% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? | Jul 30 | $5 | +$4 | +85% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 31 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024? | Jan 11 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | Jan 11 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Who will drink water first at the debate? | Dec 29 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Turkey win? | Dec 29 | $5 | +$9 | +178% |
| Will Mexico win? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Romania win? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |