Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T12:00:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b1b…1d79 crypto 10 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$109 (-16%) realized −$109 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -94% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -95% what you keep after slip
Net edge-95%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 10L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$66per market
Trades / day16.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$549
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-94.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -93.5% -94.1% 0% 0% -88.2%
≤30d 10 -93.5% -94.1% 0% 0% -88.2%
≤90d 10 -93.5% -94.1% 0% 0% -88.2%
all 10 -93.5% -94.1% 0% 0% -88.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -94.1% 0% -88.2%
10% -94.7% 0% -89.3%
15% -95.2% 0% -90.3%
20% -95.7% 0% -91.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -87% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -94% · $-wt -87% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$55 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 26 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $18 −$17 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $128 −$45 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $107 −$100 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $8 −$7 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $54 −$50 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $75 −$70 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5AM ET Jun 26 $22 −$20 -92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records