Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b16…9f80
sports · 333 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$695 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$654 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$654
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses207 / 123
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions3
Markets (closed)330 / 333
History coverage157d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days+$71
14 days+$71
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 90¢ 100¢ $27 $30 +$3 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 66¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+51%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 62¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 77¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Fnatic 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? Down 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 67¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner MOUZ NXT 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Team Vitality 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 3 Winner Rex Regum Qeon 16¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner Gen.G Esports 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Natus Vincere 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 72¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs ZETA DIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No 75¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 Winner DRX 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Spirit 59¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffs 9INE 80¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Natus Vincere 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs VARREL 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$4 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $99 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$5 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $67 −$43 -65%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$6 +44%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$3 +18%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $23 +$17 +76%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21 +$4 +20%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $21 +$11 +54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $19 +$11 +61%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $26 +$4 +17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $23 +$7 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $67 −$4 -6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $22 +$8 +36%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$12 +138%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $17 +$3 +19%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$8 +67%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$2 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14 +$6 +44%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $14 +$6 +39%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$8 +65%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$6 +43%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$11 +82%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $15 +$4 +27%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $11 +$19 +180%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $21 +$4 +19%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 +$5 +44%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $18 +$12 +67%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $10 −$7 -69%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $13 +$7 +52%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $8 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $9 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 +$4 +55%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $14 −$14 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $13 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$3 +33%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $19 +$5 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$575
finance 3% −$98
politics 2% +$5
world 1% −$45
other 0% +$28
economics 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 93¢ $0 39m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 62¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 51¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 66¢ $37 1h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 90¢ $18 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 90¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $44 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 45¢ $11 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 45¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 75¢ $23 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 82¢ $41 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 82¢ $41 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 18¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 81¢ $16 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 84¢ $17 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 84¢ $25 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $12 4h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 69¢ $14 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 84¢ $17 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 56¢ $23 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 83¢ $21 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 89¢ $9 8h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 99¢ $32 20h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 64¢ $11 20h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 64¢ $9 20h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 58¢ $2 21h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 58¢ $6 21h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 58¢ $4 21h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 58¢ $0 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 64% -2.7%
≤30d 69 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 64% -2.7%
≤90d 70 +6.8% -3.4% 74% 63% -2.7%
all 330 -1.7% -11.0% 63% 52% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 52% -12.5%
10% -19.6% 42% -20.9%
15% -27.3% 29% -28.5%
20% -34.5% 19% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.35 · official $32.02 (match) · 1030 history records