trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +94% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $2 | +$2 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? | Feb 09 | $44 | −$21 | -48% |
| Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less | Feb 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08? | Feb 08 | $12 | +$8 | +66% |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-08? | Feb 08 | $5 | +$6 | +122% |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07? | Feb 07 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the announcement on Th | Jan 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during t | Jan 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | Jan 29 | $53 | −$48 | -91% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | Jan 29 | $61 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | Jan 29 | $35 | −$27 | -78% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 28 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jan 28 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28 | Jan 28 | $36 | −$5 | -13% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 28 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28? | Jan 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during r | Jan 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 50% | +5.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 50% | +5.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 50% | +5.0% |
| all | 20 | -30.1% | -36.8% | 25% | 25% | -44.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.8% | 25% | -44.0% |
| 10% | -42.8% | 25% | -49.4% |
| 15% | -48.4% | 25% | -54.3% |
| 20% | -53.4% | 25% | -58.8% |