trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +82.7% | +65.3% | 30% | 30% | +233.0% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 20% | 20% | +117.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +19.0% | +7.7% | 18% | 18% | +92.9% |
| all | 17 | +19.0% | +7.7% | 18% | 18% | +92.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.7% | 18% | +92.9% |
| 10% | -2.6% | 18% | +74.4% |
| 15% | -12.0% | 18% | +57.6% |
| 20% | -20.6% | 12% | +42.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $38 | −$22 (-37%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 41¢ | 61¢ | $12 | $18 | +$6 (+49%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $15 | $17 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-19%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$22 | -73% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$17 | -83% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$21 | +102% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$11 | -53% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$663 | +1290% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$5 | +44% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 10 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 07 | $39 | −$9 | -23% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 06 | $71 | −$17 | -24% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 04 | $29 | −$16 | -56% |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 15 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |