Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:57:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9A 0x9ad7…cdb2 crypto 533 markets active 1h ago coverage 69d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%528W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day7.8pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$2
other 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 67 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 533 -0.4% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.8%
all 533 -0.4% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses528 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)533 / 533
History coverage69d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 533 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 1060 history records