Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9ad6…4251
sports · 486 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,771 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,772 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$419
Realized+$3,772
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses484 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions2
Markets (closed)486 / 486
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2,425
Trades / day655.2
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 486 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,065
7 days+$3,772
14 days+$3,772
30 days+$3,772
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $395 $393 −$1 (-0%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score No 100¢ 100¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $434 $0 −$434 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Jun 14 $40 $0 +0%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $1,294 +$1 +0%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $113 $0 +0%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $67,775 +$68 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4,676 +$47 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1,006 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2,036 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5,940 +$60 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $8,910 +$90 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $506 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7,218 +$72 +1%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $33 $0 +0%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) Jun 14 $54 $0 +0%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2,810 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $2,207 +$2 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $18,719 +$19 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $11,880 +$120 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,156 +$1 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $376 +$4 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $70 +$1 +1%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5,620 +$57 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $947 +$10 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $690 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $271 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $101 $0 +0%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $622 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $715 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $418 +$4 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $62,718 +$63 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$1 +1%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $800 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2,642 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $11,880 +$120 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4,411 +$45 +1%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $387 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $1,765 +$2 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $19,646 +$20 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,816 +$5 +0%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $2,299 +$2 +0%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $29 $0 +0%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $2,309 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$686
crypto 28% +$2,866
other 14% +$218
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $195 9m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $7 10m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $19 11m
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $40 14m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $14 17m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $39 20m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $99 23m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $31 24m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $79 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $165 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $94 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $478 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $461 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $137 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 486 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 486 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 486 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
all 486 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover655.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.2%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $418.97 · official $418.97 (match) · 3500 history records