Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:51:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9A 0x9ac5…c009 crypto 137 markets active 6d ago coverage 60d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,572 (-16%) realized −$1,572 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate23%31W / 106L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$71per market
Trades / day5.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$282
14 days−$662
30 days−$1,383
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,038
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-38.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -40.4% -46.1% 21% 21% -17.7%
≤30d 88 -29.1% -35.8% 23% 23% -29.3%
≤90d 137 -31.7% -38.2% 23% 23% -29.5%
all 137 -31.7% -38.2% 23% 23% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.2% 23% -29.5%
10% -44.2% 23% -36.3%
15% -49.5% 23% -42.4%
20% -54.5% 22% -48.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -32% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -43% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$138 vs −$60 · ×2.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,572
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses31 / 106
Open positions0
Markets (closed)137 / 137
History coverage60d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 137 Trades
no open positions (54 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $207 −$203 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $134 +$87 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $261 −$250 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $69 −$65 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $74 −$72 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $58 −$55 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $89 +$50 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $70 −$67 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$37 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $186 −$59 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$214 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$192 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $120 −$115 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $210 +$145 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $62 −$59 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $87 −$33 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $310 +$250 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $73 −$68 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $91 −$88 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$17 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $110 −$104 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$27 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $106 +$411 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $85 −$83 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $54 +$178 +329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 06 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 06 $35 −$33 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 06 $205 −$196 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 06 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 06 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 06 $121 −$115 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 06 $88 +$93 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 06 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 06 $51 −$48 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 06 $65 −$62 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $205 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $221 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $134 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $32 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $208 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $42 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $53 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $42 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $32 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $139 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $72 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $31 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 402 history records