Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9abc…636a
crypto · 65 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$401 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$410 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$410
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses27 / 37
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
History coverage29d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days−$108
14 days−$435
30 days−$410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 68¢ $20 $29 +$9 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Martin Landaluce 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Yes 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 No 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Yes 63¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken James Watt 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$13 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $55 +$49 +90%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $25 +$30 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $48 +$17 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $94 +$3 +4%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $45 −$44 -97%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $88 −$88 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $44 +$44 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 04 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 04 $46 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 04 $46 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 04 $33 +$13 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 04 $26 −$25 -96%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $88 +$73 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 02 $64 −$62 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 02 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -94%
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5 May 30 $91 −$89 -98%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 May 30 $102 −$5 -5%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 May 30 $98 −$97 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$73
crypto 35% −$268
other 3% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +1.6% -8.0% 55% 48% -22.4%
≤30d 64 -16.3% -24.2% 42% 39% -25.3%
≤90d 64 -16.3% -24.2% 42% 39% -25.3%
all 64 -16.3% -24.2% 42% 39% -25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.2% 39% -25.3%
10% -31.5% 34% -32.4%
15% -38.1% 28% -39.0%
20% -44.2% 22% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.15 · official $20.43 · 114 history records