Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:59:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9aa8…1f7b
sports · 274 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$454 · open +$479
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,880
Realized−$454
Unrealized+$479
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses122 / 144
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$1,339
Open positions7
Markets (closed)266 / 274
History coverage605d
Avg bet$749
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 7 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,192
7 days+$217
14 days−$1,095
30 days−$3,549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 100¢ $500 $1,045 +$545 (+109%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $208 $256 +$48 (+23%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $195 $176 −$20 (-10%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 5¢ 12¢ $50 $126 +$76 (+151%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 37¢ 30¢ $148 $122 −$26 (-18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners Over 63¢ 28¢ $200 $89 −$111 (-56%)
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 12¢ $100 $67 −$33 (-33%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 62¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 28¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jones Emerson Jones 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 61¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) Cirstea 15¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini 51¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1,830 $0 −$1,830 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 2¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $980 $0 −$980 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs Fake do Biru 60¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jannik Sinner 29¢ 0¢ $429 $0 −$429 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Fritz 52¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 40¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Aryna Sabalenka 37¢ 0¢ $2,111 $0 −$2,111 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $103 +$26 +25%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $304 −$167 -55%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $304 −$139 -46%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $201 +$43 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $123 −$122 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $127 −$126 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $57 −$40 -70%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $202 +$126 +62%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $118 −$97 -82%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $202 +$124 +61%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $152 +$106 +70%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $210 −$95 -45%
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Jun 12 $144 −$142 -99%
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $208 −$204 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $183 −$125 -68%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $303 +$132 +43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $968 +$431 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $82 +$64 +78%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $50 +$49 +97%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $105 +$50 +48%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $812 +$70 +9%
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 10 $102 +$125 +123%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $61 +$192 +313%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $202 +$100 +49%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $143 +$126 +88%
Set Handicap: Duckworth (-1.5) vs Dedura-Palomero (+1.5) Jun 09 $81 +$68 +84%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $202 +$81 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $203 +$170 +84%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 07 $251 −$248 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $41 −$41 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 06 $1,190 −$40 -3%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $540 +$186 +34%
Will Netherlands vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 03 $169 +$31 +18%
Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $107 +$93 +86%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $139 +$61 +44%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $221 −$155 -70%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $108 +$92 +85%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $254 −$253 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $2,119 −$2,111 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $1,396 +$178 +13%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $2,135 +$497 +23%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $280 +$120 +43%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart Jun 02 $106 −$53 -50%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $188 +$46 +24%
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jones Jun 02 $52 −$51 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang Jun 01 $930 +$40 +4%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $450 +$49 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$5,328
other 31% −$4,618
world 5% −$140
culture 2% −$29
politics 0% −$490
crypto 0% −$80
tech 0% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $59 17m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $29 17m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $39 18m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 19m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $203 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $103 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 1h
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $102 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $305 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 63¢ $202 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 28¢ $137 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 33¢ $165 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $304 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 61¢ $123 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $127 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 8¢ $17 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 82¢ $201 6h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $304 6h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 24¢ $51 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 21¢ $51 7h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 38¢ $6 8h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 97¢ $329 9h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 59¢ $202 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 4¢ $21 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $327 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners SELL Over 99¢ $257 27h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 36¢ $102 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 61¢ $202 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 58¢ $152 28h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 28¢ $204 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +5.5% -4.6% 56% 53% -6.5%
≤30d 76 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 53% -13.5%
≤90d 205 -5.7% -14.7% 46% 42% -8.8%
all 266 +1.1% -8.5% 46% 40% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 40% -8.8%
10% -17.3% 35% -17.5%
15% -25.3% 29% -25.5%
20% -32.6% 23% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,879.85 · official $1,929.85 · 1719 history records