Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:40:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9aa8…a338
other · 560 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$183 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$123 · open +$47
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$208
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$47
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses428 / 126
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions6
Markets (closed)554 / 560
History coverage182d
Avg bet$236
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 6 History 554 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$117
7 days+$243
14 days+$57
30 days+$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 50¢ $48 $94 +$45 (+94%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 26¢ $25 $52 +$28 (+112%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 34¢ $44 $26 −$18 (-42%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 83¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+20%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$7 -66%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$6 +113%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $19 +$11 +60%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $36 +$39 +110%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $39 +$105 +271%
Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 +$200 +4900%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$9 +97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$8 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 −$4 -40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 +$9 +101%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$13 +134%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -83%
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B? Jun 13 $25 −$4 -15%
Cattolica (Doubles): Jecan/Pavel vs Grevelius/Heinonen Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Lyon (Doubles): Isaro/Poonacha vs Mansouri/Neuchrist Jun 13 $15 −$2 -14%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? Jun 13 $7 −$5 -81%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? Jun 13 $14 −$10 -70%
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B? Jun 13 $46 −$4 -8%
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B? Jun 13 $51 −$6 -11%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $49 −$5 -10%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Jun 13 $13 −$1 -9%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju Jun 13 $9 +$7 +76%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $51 −$9 -17%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $47 +$14 +29%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $32 +$45 +138%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $23 +$18 +79%
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$15 +100%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $52 +$4 +8%
Tucuman (Doubles): Pino/Dickerson vs Monzon/Villalon Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$10 -19%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% +$28
crypto 4% +$1
tech 4% +$6
weather 3% −$36
culture 2% +$4
sports 2% +$160
politics 2% $0
world 0% +$7
finance 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 21m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $11 21m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $0 22m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $0 22m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 22m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $1 23m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 23m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $3 24m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 21¢ $3 24m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $0 25m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 25m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 21¢ $0 25m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 26m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 21¢ $6 26m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 22¢ $0 26m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 27m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 27m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $3 30m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 30m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 30m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 30m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 31m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 31m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 31m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 37m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 37m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 37m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $5 38m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 38m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +30.5% +18.1% 48% 39% -3.4%
≤30d 142 +3.1% -6.7% 46% 22% -10.7%
≤90d 260 +3.1% -6.7% 69% 14% -9.7%
all 554 +1.7% -8.0% 77% 7% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 7% -9.5%
10% -16.8% 5% -18.2%
15% -24.8% 4% -26.1%
20% -32.2% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208.24 · official $208.24 (match) · 1593 history records