Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9aa0…0520
other · 9 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$82 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$80 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$372
Realized+$80
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$80
7 days+$80
14 days+$80
30 days+$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $300 $303 +$3 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 62¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Yes 23¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 17¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
South Africa leading at halftime? Yes 11¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 14¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Yes 29¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$111 +109%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$32 +165%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% +$118
sports 19% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-38.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -32.3% -38.7% 29% 29% +29.8%
≤30d 7 -32.3% -38.7% 29% 29% +29.8%
≤90d 7 -32.3% -38.7% 29% 29% +29.8%
all 7 -32.3% -38.7% 29% 29% +29.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.7% 29% +29.8%
10% -44.6% 29% +17.4%
15% -49.9% 29% +6.0%
20% -54.8% 29% -4.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $372.03 · official $372.03 (match) · 11 history records