Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9aa0…8779
sports · 549 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$133 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$181 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$135
Realized−$181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses215 / 302
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions32
Markets (closed)517 / 549
History coverage133d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 32 History 517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$23
14 days−$4
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 96¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 98¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? Yes 96¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 94¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 89¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 82¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-12%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Under 48¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+42%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 Under 56¢ 57¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 19¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $11 −$1 -11%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 14 $4 −$3 -82%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $2 $0 -7%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican pri Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1 +$2 +203%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +81%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -55%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 $0 -26%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -25%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 11 $2 $0 -15%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -41%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $2 $0 -21%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 11 $18 $0 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $3 +$2 +56%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $28 −$5 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$31
world 12% −$20
other 12% −$5
politics 10% −$10
crypto 8% −$15
economics 7% −$99
weather 2% −$4
tech 1% −$3
culture 1% +$7
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 5m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 25m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 29m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 29m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 48¢ $2 39m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 45¢ $3 44m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 43¢ $2 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 43¢ $1 45m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $2 47m
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) SELL Spurs 8¢ $1 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 17¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 18¢ $2 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 19¢ $3 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 19¢ $0 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 19¢ $2 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 24¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 29¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 30¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $4 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 17¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican pri SELL No 55¢ $5 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 2h
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Spurs 31¢ $4 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Under 62¢ $3 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 30¢ $1 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 26¢ $1 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $1 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 32¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -11.8% -20.2% 35% 26% -14.3%
≤30d 516 -5.8% -14.7% 41% 26% -13.9%
≤90d 516 -5.8% -14.7% 41% 26% -13.9%
all 517 -5.6% -14.6% 42% 26% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 26% -13.8%
10% -22.8% 18% -22.0%
15% -30.3% 12% -29.5%
20% -37.1% 9% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $134.80 · official $133.76 (match) · 1889 history records