Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:32:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9A 0x9a9a…370b crypto 1176 markets active 7h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (159 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$115 (-1%) realized −$115 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate80%944W / 232L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day159.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$205
14 days−$208
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% −$63
other 16% −$145
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (159 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 933 -2.2% -11.6% 77% 60% -11.5%
≤30d 1176 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 51% -11.2%
≤90d 1176 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 51% -11.2%
all 1176 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 51% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 51% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 22% -19.7%
15% -27.3% 9% -27.5%
20% -34.4% 5% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses944 / 232
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1176 / 1176
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day159.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1176 Trades
no open positions (171 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2261 history records