Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T07:18:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

9A 0x9a94…d5f9 other 1284 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠

BOTnot copyable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Covers last 1d only

✗ bot/MM pace (3476 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)! limited sample (<25 closed)

Total PnL +$7,595 (+12003%) realized −$107 · open +$7,702

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +75% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt +35% what you keep after slip

Net edge+35%after slip

Net WR8%break-even

Win rate8%2W / 22L

Drawdown2%max

Avg bet$0per market

Trades / day3476.0pace

Fees−$0est.

Kalshi-fit39%portable

Net worth$7,726now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

uncopyable — bot pace (3476 trades/day)

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +8%

net ROI/market (all)+58.3%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	24	+75.0%	+58.3%	8%	8%	+130.9%
≤30d	24	+75.0%	+58.3%	8%	8%	+130.9%
≤90d	24	+75.0%	+58.3%	8%	8%	+130.9%
all	24	+75.0%	+58.3%	8%	8%	+130.9%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover3476.0 tr/day

realistic slip~13%

edge survives to20%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	+58.3%	8%	+130.9%
10% ← realistic here	+43.2%	8%	+108.8%
15%	+29.3%	8%	+88.6%
20%	+16.7%	8%	+70.1%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 96% · top 2 100% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +4064% fresh edge ✓

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip solid win margins

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +75% · $-wt +4064% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early -100% → late +250% mixed

Add-ons / DCA

2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions

Win / loss size

+$26 vs −$0 · ×519.87 wins bigger than losses

Profit factor

×47.26 per $1 lost it wins $47.26

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$7,726

Realized−$107

Unrealized+$7,702

Win rate (resolved)8%

Wins / losses2 / 22

Est. fees paid−$0

Open positions500

Markets (closed)24 / 1284

History coverage1d ⚠

Avg bet$0

Trades / day3476.0

Drawdown2%

Kalshi-fit39%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 500 History 24 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	0¢	90¢	$0	$45	+$45 (+89400%)
Trezeguet: 1+ goals	No	0¢	86¢	$0	$43	+$43 (+85900%)
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5	Under	0¢	85¢	$0	$42	+$42 (+84900%)
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists	No	0¢	84¢	$0	$42	+$42 (+84400%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	No	0¢	84¢	$0	$42	+$42 (+83900%)
Mostafa Zico: 1+ goals	No	0¢	84¢	$0	$42	+$42 (+83900%)
Maximiliano Araújo: 1+ goals	No	0¢	80¢	$0	$40	+$40 (+80400%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?	No	0¢	80¢	$0	$40	+$40 (+79400%)
Emam Ashour: 3+ shots	No	0¢	78¢	$0	$39	+$39 (+77900%)
Mohamed Salah: 4+ shots	No	0¢	78¢	$0	$39	+$39 (+77400%)
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	0¢	76¢	$0	$38	+$38 (+75400%)
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	0¢	75¢	$0	$38	+$37 (+74900%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?	No	0¢	74¢	$0	$37	+$37 (+73900%)
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Under	0¢	72¢	$0	$36	+$36 (+72400%)
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	0¢	72¢	$0	$36	+$36 (+71400%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	0¢	70¢	$0	$35	+$35 (+70400%)
Mostafa Zico: 3+ shots	No	0¢	69¢	$0	$35	+$35 (+69390%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?	No	0¢	69¢	$0	$34	+$34 (+68890%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 22?	No	0¢	68¢	$0	$34	+$34 (+68400%)
Federico Viñas: 2+ shots	Yes	0¢	68¢	$0	$34	+$34 (+68400%)
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	0¢	68¢	$0	$34	+$34 (+68400%)
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 Corners	Under	0¢	68¢	$0	$34	+$34 (+68400%)
Egypt to score first vs. New Zealand?	Yes	0¢	65¢	$0	$32	+$32 (+64900%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of June 22 2026?	No	0¢	64¢	$0	$32	+$32 (+64400%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 21?	No	0¢	64¢	$0	$32	+$32 (+63900%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: FORZE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - BetBoom	Jun 22	$0	+$2	+4002%
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Jun 22	$0	$0	-100%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Jun 22	$0	$0	-100%
Uruguay leading at halftime?	Jun 22	$0	+$50	+49900%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots on target	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Mohammad Mohebbi: 3+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Youri Tielemans: 4+ shots	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Maxim De Cuyper: 1+ shots on target	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Shahriyar Moghanloo: 1+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals + assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Dennis Eckert: 2+ shots	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ assists	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 Corners	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total Corners	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Total Corners Odd or Even?	Jun 21	$0	$0	-100%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	5m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	8m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	13m
	BUY	0¢	$0	16m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	16m
	BUY	0¢	$0	18m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 23?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	19m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	19m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 23?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	20m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	BUY No	0¢	$0	21m
	BUY	0¢	$0	22m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	22m
	BUY	0¢	$0	25m
	BUY	0¢	$0	26m
	BUY	0¢	$0	26m
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner	BUY Grind Back	0¢	$0	31m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 23?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	32m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 22?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	32m
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $106 Week of June 22 2026?	BUY No	0¢	$0	41m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 22?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	41m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	58m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 22?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 23?	BUY Yes	0¢	$0	1h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,726.43 · official $7,874.76 · 3500 history records