trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $4 | +$3 (+284%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Up | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 17¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$6 | +596% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 8¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 21¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $1 | 6h |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $2 | 12h |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $1 | 12h |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $1 | 12h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY Down | 17¢ | $1 | 16h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY Up | 12¢ | $1 | 16h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY Down | 6¢ | $1 | 16h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 46¢ | $1 | 28h |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 9¢ | $1 | 28h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +60.0% | +44.7% | 43% | 43% | +46.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +60.0% | +44.7% | 43% | 43% | +46.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +60.0% | +44.7% | 43% | 43% | +46.7% |
| all | 7 | +60.0% | +44.7% | 43% | 43% | +46.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +44.7% | 43% | +46.7% |
| 10% | +30.9% | 43% | +32.7% |
| 15% | +18.2% | 43% | +19.9% |
| 20% | +6.6% | 43% | +8.1% |