Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T18:04:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
9A 0x9a7f…249a crypto 1539 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (172 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,545 (+13%) realized +$2,545 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate84%1288W / 250L
Drawdown62%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day171.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$0
14 days+$725
30 days+$725
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$725
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (172 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 713 +0.6% -8.9% 83% 73% -9.5%
≤30d 1538 +2.6% -7.2% 84% 75% -6.1%
≤90d 1538 +2.6% -7.2% 84% 75% -6.1%
all 1538 +2.6% -7.2% 84% 75% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover171.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 75% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 34% -15.1%
15% -24.2% 4% -23.3%
20% -31.6% 1% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$11 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$2,545
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1288 / 250
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1538 / 1539
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day171.9
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1538 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 85¢ 84¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$3 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$3 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.22 · official $2.67 · 3500 history records