Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:50:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9A 0x9a77…f968 crypto 761 markets active 1h ago coverage 47d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 46d only
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$138 (-2%) realized −$138 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate34%259W / 502L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day58.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$98
7 days−$253
14 days−$326
30 days−$117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$244
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -22.6% -29.9% 27% 21% -14.2%
≤30d 559 -7.6% -16.4% 31% 30% -13.4%
≤90d 761 -11.1% -19.6% 34% 33% -14.7%
all 761 -11.1% -19.6% 34% 33% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 33% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 32% -22.8%
15% -34.3% 31% -30.3%
20% -40.7% 28% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$4 · ×1.7 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses259 / 502
Open positions0
Markets (closed)761 / 761
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day58.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 761 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $84 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $71 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $72 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $145 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $74 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $103 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $48 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $223 +$42 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $116 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $190 −$23 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $127 −$16 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $57 −$17 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $137 −$15 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $74 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $192 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $138 −$22 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $232 −$29 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $198 +$50 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $96 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $53 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $72 −$15 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $180 −$10 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $132 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $43 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $95 +$32 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $158 −$15 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $86 −$13 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $157 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $179 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $105 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $95 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$14 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $204 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records