Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a4c…1f30
sports · 284 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$108,194 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$115,028 · open −$6,834
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$38,834
Realized+$115,028
Unrealized−$6,834
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses153 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$23,472
Open positions10
Markets (closed)274 / 284
Avg bet$6,085
Trades / day67.1
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 10 History 274 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15,194
7 days+$11,994
14 days−$6,813
30 days+$84,631
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 74¢ $7,440 $11,025 +$3,585 (+48%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 52¢ $8,150 $8,240 +$90 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 45¢ 42¢ $7,200 $6,800 −$400 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage INOX Division 50¢ 50¢ $5,885 $5,934 +$49 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 66¢ $2,936 $3,497 +$561 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 39¢ 14¢ $5,718 $1,984 −$3,734 (-65%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1,023 $1,051 +$28 (+3%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 22¢ 10¢ $502 $239 −$262 (-52%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $60 $57 −$3 (-5%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ 0¢ $6,754 $6 −$6,747 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $4,800 $0 −$4,800 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 52¢ 0¢ $6,530 $0 −$6,530 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 43¢ 0¢ $6,035 $0 −$6,035 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 46¢ 0¢ $5,202 $0 −$5,202 (-100%)
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $9,690 $0 −$9,690 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ 0¢ $4,300 $0 −$4,300 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 58¢ 0¢ $5,800 $0 −$5,800 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $8,100 $0 −$8,100 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Atlanta Dream 53¢ 0¢ $7,950 $0 −$7,950 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 53¢ 0¢ $1,484 $0 −$1,484 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $8,100 $0 −$8,100 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $11,310 $0 −$11,310 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $4,800 $0 −$4,800 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $3,559 $0 −$3,559 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,712 +$4,588 +97%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $6,476 +$4,465 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $11,159 +$7,841 +70%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $12,124 +$8,876 +73%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $4,794 −$4,794 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7,319 +$8,681 +119%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $8,268 +$8,680 +105%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,812 −$3,796 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 11 $7,950 −$7,950 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5 Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,079 −$1,078 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $7,134 −$7,003 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $4,255 +$3,245 +76%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $6,241 +$5,159 +83%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5,950 +$6,050 +102%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $8,487 +$7,913 +93%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3,611 −$3,559 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $11,343 −$11,155 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $4,360 −$4,296 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $6,764 −$6,650 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,889 +$2,152 +114%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 10 $7,245 +$6,755 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $7,612 +$7,388 +97%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $10,838 +$10,562 +97%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3,235 +$6,565 +203%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $11,110 −$10,880 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $8,004 −$7,875 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $8,134 +$4,066 +50%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $6,473 +$8,027 +124%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $7,878 +$11,622 +148%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $6,591 −$6,530 -99%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4,709 −$4,628 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $13,723 +$1,277 +9%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5,286 −$5,202 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $5,475 −$5,400 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4,939 −$4,833 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6,711 −$6,600 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3,467 −$3,400 -98%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5 Jun 08 $868 +$728 +84%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $4,489 +$5,711 +127%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $7,178 +$8,345 +116%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 08 $8,637 +$8,363 +97%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5,637 −$5,600 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6,280 +$6,094 +97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $8,939 +$7,461 +84%
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) Jun 07 $3,102 +$2,982 +96%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,441 +$5,009 +146%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5,310 +$4,570 +86%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 07 $4,126 −$4,071 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5,873 −$5,800 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$124,825
other 5% −$15,833
tech 0% −$262
crypto 0% −$330
politics 0% −$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1m
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2m
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2m
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 11¢ $60 2m
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 51¢ $898 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $278 1h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $5,075 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $75 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $22 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $1,776 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $14 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $13 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $18 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $1,457 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $56 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $16 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $398 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $164 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $26 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $11 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $83 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $250 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $2,150 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $356 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -3.1% -12.3% 49% 48% -7.1%
≤30d 219 +5.2% -4.8% 54% 53% -3.8%
≤90d 274 +6.4% -3.8% 56% 55% -3.3%
all 274 +6.4% -3.8% 56% 55% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 55% -3.3%
10% -13.0% 53% -12.6%
15% ← realistic here -21.4% 50% -21.0%
20% -29.1% 46% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38,833.50 · official $38,833.50 (match) · 3244 history records