trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -12.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 14% | 14% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 14% | 14% | -11.3% |
| all | 18 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 28% | 6% | -11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 6% | -11.9% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 6% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -35.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $109 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $39 | −$3 | -8% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 10 | $72 | −$2 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 09 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 06 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +26% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Feb 21 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 02 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? | Jul 02 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 02 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jul 01 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Jul 01 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 22 | $13 | −$5 | -37% |
| Will XRP reach $3.10 in March? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | -0% |