Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a4b…a0c7
sports · 295 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$522 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$604 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,011
Realized+$604
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses251 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$849
Open positions3
Markets (closed)292 / 295
History coverage87d
Avg bet$780
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 292 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,171
7 days−$799
14 days+$32
30 days+$639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $581 $583 +$2 (+0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 78¢ $414 $394 −$20 (-5%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 78¢ 74¢ $36 $34 −$2 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 98¢ $1,048 $0 −$1,048 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2,305 +$173 +8%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $503 −$503 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $809 +$4 +0%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,049 −$1,048 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $349 +$1 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $204 +$6 +3%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2,477 +$87 +4%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $100 −$4 -4%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $1,002 −$15 -2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $100 +$12 +12%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $647 +$8 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $3,125 +$35 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $926 +$39 +4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $274 +$26 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,147 +$7 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $194 +$13 +6%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $428 +$12 +3%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1,745 +$21 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $549 +$14 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $463 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $328 +$15 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $605 +$18 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $41 $0 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $142 +$8 +6%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $128 +$4 +3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $213 +$7 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $106 +$1 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $92 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3,243 +$19 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,073 +$13 +1%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $100 +$10 +10%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $334 +$16 +5%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $315 +$10 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $2,989 +$11 +0%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $496 +$4 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 10 $2,113 −$53 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $346 +$18 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $379 +$35 +9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $480 +$10 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $92 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $597 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,602 +$32 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $837 +$53 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $559 +$48 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $686 +$31 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 07 $193 +$7 +4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $338 +$17 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$890
crypto 39% +$1,475
world 7% +$897
tech 3% −$9
other 2% −$935
finance 1% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $36 1m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 58¢ $235 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 73¢ $302 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $9 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $407 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $484 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $98 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 89¢ $169 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 89¢ $4 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 89¢ $640 4h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 88¢ $809 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 93¢ $2,305 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $12 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $36 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1,001 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $41 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $99 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $205 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $0 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $98 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $251 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 97¢ $97 18h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 97¢ $5 18h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 97¢ $102 18h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 87¢ $96 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -1.5% -10.9% 87% 2% -11.4%
≤30d 125 +0.3% -9.3% 86% 3% -9.0%
≤90d 292 +0.2% -9.3% 86% 8% -9.3%
all 292 +0.2% -9.3% 86% 8% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 8% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 1% -18.0%
15% ← realistic here -25.9% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,011.06 · official $1,011.06 (match) · 2015 history records