Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a46…3e9e
crypto · 261 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,674 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,862 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,862
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses76 / 668
Open positions0
Markets (closed)744 / 261
History coverage7d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day481.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 744 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,340
7 days−$1,862
14 days−$1,862
30 days−$1,862
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$660
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-71.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 744 -68.1% -71.1% 10% 4% -22.2%
≤30d 744 -68.1% -71.1% 10% 4% -22.2%
≤90d 744 -68.1% -71.1% 10% 4% -22.2%
all 744 -68.1% -71.1% 10% 4% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover481.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -71.1% 4% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -73.9% 2% -29.6%
15% -76.4% 1% -36.4%
20% -78.7% 1% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records