trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 8% | 0% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 0% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 0% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 0% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 0% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers | Lakers | 33¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 21 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 24 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 28 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 18 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 22 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 26 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 26 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 25 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | Jul 17 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 15 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Manchester United wins the Premier League? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 13 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League? | May 10 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 04 | $464 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025? | Dec 04 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 04 | $35 | $0 | -0% |