trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 67% | 8% | -7.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 67% | 8% | -7.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 74% | 9% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 9% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -32.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 22 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $52 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 15 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $45 | +$2 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $48 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $39 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Jun 29 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -77% |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese leg | May 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Run | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Trump cryptocurrency executive order this week? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +1% |