Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:40:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a30…7b6c
sports · 66 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$1,134 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,130 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$296
Realized−$1,130
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses28 / 36
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions2
Markets (closed)64 / 66
History coverage84d
Avg bet$128
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,242
7 days−$1,468
14 days−$2,257
30 days−$2,257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $200 $197 −$3 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 9¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 42¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? No 31¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,240 −$1,242 -55%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $98 −$97 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $72 −$70 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $200 +$72 +36%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $107 +$155 +145%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 +$107 +105%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $99 −$97 -99%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $100 −$98 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 +$97 +96%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $97 −$94 -97%
76ers vs. Knicks Jun 06 $22 −$22 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) Jun 06 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 06 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 06 $51 −$51 -100%
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega Jun 06 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $97 −$97 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $115 −$115 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $107 −$86 -81%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $111 +$219 +197%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $102 +$116 +114%
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5 May 03 $67 +$67 +101%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) May 02 $100 +$113 +114%
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) May 02 $54 +$56 +105%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner May 02 $57 +$39 +69%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 02 $54 −$54 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs May 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) May 02 $54 −$54 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 02 $84 −$84 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) May 02 $52 +$48 +93%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs May 02 $50 +$124 +250%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B May 01 $48 +$152 +317%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 30 $101 +$46 +46%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Apr 30 $72 +$88 +122%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 29 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner Apr 29 $51 +$230 +449%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qual Apr 29 $46 +$54 +117%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Apr 29 $50 −$7 -14%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Apr 29 $57 +$53 +93%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 Apr 28 $80 +$76 +95%
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud Apr 28 $40 +$137 +344%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 28 $677 +$1 +0%
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026? Apr 28 $699 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$1,003
other 10% −$131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $204 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 50¢ $102 50m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 32¢ $999 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 69¢ $2,240 3h
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $98 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 46¢ $102 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 42¢ $72 5d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY TYLOO 50¢ $102 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $173 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL paiN 100¢ $261 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $98 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL MIBR 44¢ $98 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 40¢ $107 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 44¢ $102 5d
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $99 6d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 30¢ $50 6d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 32¢ $50 6d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $198 6d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FlyQuest 9¢ $97 6d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 50¢ $101 6d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $102 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 56¢ $99 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY M80 34¢ $101 7d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY GamerLegion 47¢ $97 7d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FlyQuest 45¢ $102 7d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY NRG 6¢ $21 8d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL NRG 5¢ $0 8d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL NRG 8¢ $20 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 33¢ $111 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Over 48¢ $102 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -31.1% -37.7% 33% 33% -48.5%
≤30d 28 -51.6% -56.2% 21% 21% -52.4%
≤90d 64 +13.6% +2.8% 44% 42% -22.1%
all 64 +13.6% +2.8% 44% 42% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.8% 42% -22.1%
10% -7.1% 42% -29.6%
15% -16.0% 41% -36.4%
20% -24.3% 36% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $296.30 · official $296.30 (match) · 140 history records