Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:12:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a2f…b4b4
sports · 306 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,652 -57%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,635 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized−$4,635
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses114 / 517
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions14
Markets (closed)631 / 306
History coverage10d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day320.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,423
7 days−$4,568
14 days−$4,635
30 days−$4,635
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Colorado Rockies 58¢ 86¢ $8 $11 +$4 (+47%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Under 53¢ 76¢ $7 $9 +$3 (+41%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Golden State Valkyries 54¢ 70¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+31%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Under 23¢ 54¢ $3 $8 +$4 (+135%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 54¢ 42¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-22%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 46¢ 92¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+101%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 25¢ 34¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Under 44¢ 61¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+39%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 40¢ 31¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-22%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 19¢ 8¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-61%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 33¢ 5¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-85%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Over 57¢ 4¢ $10 $1 −$10 (-93%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Los Angeles Angels 26¢ 2¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-94%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Los Angeles Angels 39¢ 1¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-97%)
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Tallon Griekspoor 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) Rockets 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) Mandel Nallo 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovic Viktor Durasovic 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Denis Shapovalov 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets Ningbo Rockets 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mona Barthel Andrea Lazaro Garcia 71¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $3 −$7 -200%
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) Jun 13 $6 −$13 -200%
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $9 −$17 -200%
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovic Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 13 $8 −$16 -200%
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Oeiras 4: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mona Barthel Jun 13 $8 −$17 -200%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barrios Jun 13 $6 −$13 -200%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya Jun 13 $6 −$13 -200%
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $6 −$13 -200%
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Rome: Federico Bondioli vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $7 −$14 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Jun 13 $11 −$22 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Ksenia Efremova Jun 13 $4 −$9 -200%
Oeiras 4: Storm Hunter vs Lucie Havlickova Jun 13 $3 −$7 -200%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Cezar Cretu Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $7 −$14 -200%
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 13 $6 −$13 -200%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elise Mertens vs Ella Seidel Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur Jun 13 $8 −$15 -200%
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffon Jun 13 $4 −$9 -200%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
Oeiras 4: Whitney Osuigwe vs Ayana Akli Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeons Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v Jun 13 $3 −$7 -200%
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 −$9 -200%
Abidjan: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Hamish Stewart Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate Jun 13 $22 −$43 -200%
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $10 −$19 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 13 $6 −$13 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$246
sports 22% −$64
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 63¢ $5 6m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 44¢ $3 10m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 40¢ $3 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 46¢ $3 14m
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 25¢ $4 15m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 32¢ $3 28m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 57¢ $4 29m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 56¢ $4 29m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 57¢ $3 29m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 62¢ $4 34m
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 61¢ $4 35m
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 56¢ $4 39m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 45¢ $3 44m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 23¢ $3 44m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY St. Louis Cardinals 23¢ $3 52m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 22¢ $4 54m
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) BUY Golden State Valkyries 52¢ $3 56m
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) BUY Golden State Valkyries 56¢ $3 56m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 36¢ $4 59m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 41¢ $3 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 60¢ $4 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 52¢ $4 1h
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 37¢ $3 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 1h
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) BUY Atlanta Braves 48¢ $3 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 44¢ $3 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 33¢ $3 1h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 49¢ $3 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 49¢ $3 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 49¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-62.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 606 -58.9% -62.8% 17% 16% -46.3%
≤30d 631 -58.0% -62.0% 18% 15% -38.6%
≤90d 631 -58.0% -62.0% 18% 15% -38.6%
all 631 -58.0% -62.0% 18% 15% -38.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover320.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.0% 15% -38.6%
10% ← realistic here -65.6% 14% -44.5%
15% -68.9% 12% -49.8%
20% -72.0% 11% -54.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.83 · official $65.83 (match) · 3500 history records