Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a1d…8986
sports · 492 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,586 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,402 · open −$94
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,985
Realized−$5,402
Unrealized−$94
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses174 / 343
Est. fees paid−$101
Open positions195
Markets (closed)517 / 492
History coverage10d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day343.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 195 History 517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,279
7 days−$6,058
14 days−$5,402
30 days−$5,402
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $288 $251 −$37 (-13%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $219 $217 −$2 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $194 $189 −$6 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $125 $111 −$14 (-11%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $108 $106 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 23¢ 14¢ $129 $80 −$49 (-38%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 83¢ $62 $61 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 67¢ 68¢ $52 $53 +$1 (+2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $46 $47 +$1 (+1%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 94¢ $41 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 87¢ 94¢ $35 $39 +$3 (+9%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $34 $34 +$1 (+2%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $26 $29 +$3 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? No 51¢ 59¢ $23 $27 +$4 (+16%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $53 $26 −$27 (-51%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-4%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Scotland 52¢ 56¢ $22 $24 +$2 (+8%)
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+2%)
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 39¢ 24¢ $25 $15 −$9 (-38%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 90¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $21 $15 −$6 (-27%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $13 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $8 −$30 -371%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Jun 13 $0 −$6 -15068%
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
AEK vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
76ers vs. Hornets Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Solana reach $170 in January? Jun 13 $0 −$14 -15687%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Jazz vs. Grizzlies Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gal Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Rockets vs. Bulls Jun 13 $53 −$32 -60%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs KuaiShow Gaming (BO5) - King Pro Leagu Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs WW Team (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playof Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Boostgate Esports (BO1) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$51 +1051%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? Jun 13 $0 −$22 -17413%
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs China Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -117%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 −$12 -121%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: ROSE vs Team Evictix - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bulls vs. Kings Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? Jun 13 $0 −$51 -25964%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% +$1,947
other 27% +$115
crypto 21% +$93
tech 2% $0
economics 1% −$7
politics 1% $0
finance 1% −$9
world 0% +$6
culture 0% −$4
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $5 2m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $1 24m
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Grou BUY Noir Esports 27¢ $1 41m
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? SELL Yes 82¢ $4 55m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $9 56m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $5 58m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $33 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 25¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 3¢ $1 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 90¢ $36 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 30¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $13 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 86¢ $24 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 43¢ $14 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Over 30¢ $4 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 19¢ $9 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 43¢ $10 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 95¢ $8 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $9 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $9 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 17¢ $4 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $4 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 76¢ $4 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $10 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 17¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $9 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 76¢ $19 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 446 -27.8% -34.7% 29% 22% -42.8%
≤30d 517 -12.4% -20.7% 34% 26% -36.0%
≤90d 517 -12.4% -20.7% 34% 26% -36.0%
all 517 -12.4% -20.7% 34% 26% -36.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover343.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 26% -36.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 20% -42.1%
15% -35.2% 15% -47.7%
20% -41.6% 12% -52.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,984.55 · official $1,898.24 · 3500 history records