trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $28 | $28 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $945 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,922 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $948 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $947 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $949 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $949 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $2,866 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1,940 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,742 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $959 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $961 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $962 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $962 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,949 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $963 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $969 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $968 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $970 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $972 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $982 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $984 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $985 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $986 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $987 | −$1 | -0% |