Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a0c…14ce
sports · 531 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,283 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,384 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$1,384
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses255 / 273
Est. fees paid−$264
Open positions3
Markets (closed)528 / 531
History coverage29d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$347
14 days−$1,141
30 days−$1,384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs K27 54¢ 52¢ $13 $13 −$1 (-5%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) BIG 70¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 48¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) Melquizael Costa 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 62¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Santiago Luna 46¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 54¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 33¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) Legacy 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) GIANTX 35¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 51¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) ex-RUBY 65¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $13 +$11 +79%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $13 +$3 +24%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 14 $13 +$8 +60%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $13 +$14 +105%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $13 +$12 +93%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $13 +$13 +97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $13 +$10 +76%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $13 +$11 +86%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 +$11 +83%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $13 +$16 +119%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 +$9 +67%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $13 +$13 +97%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $13 +$10 +79%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $13 +$18 +134%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $13 +$7 +55%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $13 −$10 -78%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $13 −$13 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $13 +$11 +83%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $13 −$1 -6%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $13 +$5 +39%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $13 +$13 +104%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $13 −$13 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$4 +29%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $13 +$13 +97%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $14 −$13 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $13 −$13 -99%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Jun 10 $25 −$2 -6%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $15 +$13 +87%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $15 +$16 +109%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $15 +$10 +65%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 +$4 +29%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$8 +52%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $15 +$20 +134%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 +$5 +36%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$6 +44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) Jun 08 $15 +$14 +97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $50 +$22 +44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) Jun 08 $50 +$26 +52%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $50 +$60 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$1,011
other 12% −$399
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 55¢ $6 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 55¢ $7 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $13 2h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 62¢ $13 4h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $13 4h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 51¢ $13 5h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 54¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 54¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 54¢ $5 5h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 55¢ $13 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 36¢ $3 9h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 54¢ $6 10h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 54¢ $7 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 41¢ $12 12h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $13 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $13 13h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ $13 13h
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 59¢ $7 13h
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 59¢ $6 13h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $13 14h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $13 14h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $13 14h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 45¢ $13 14h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 72¢ $13 14h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 56¢ $13 14h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 54¢ $13 15h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $13 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $13 16h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 53¢ $13 16h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ $13 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -5.9% -14.9% 53% 53% -19.6%
≤30d 528 -8.7% -17.4% 48% 47% -15.6%
≤90d 528 -8.7% -17.4% 48% 47% -15.6%
all 528 -8.7% -17.4% 48% 47% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 47% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 47% -23.7%
15% -32.5% 44% -31.0%
20% -39.1% 38% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.57 · official $12.57 (match) · 1067 history records