trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $150 | $133 | −$17 (-11%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 38¢ | 62¢ | $20 | $32 | +$12 (+62%) |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | No | 26¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 20¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Scotland | 37¢ | 38¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 61¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Germany | 50¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$21 | +104% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | BUY Switzerland | 61¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | BUY Germany | 50¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 57¢ | $20 | 1h |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 37¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 98¢ | $41 | 7h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $20 | 9h |
| Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 15¢ | $7 | 22h |
| Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 22¢ | $15 | 22h |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 29¢ | $15 | 22h |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 38¢ | $20 | 22h |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY No | 26¢ | $31 | 22h |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $154 | 2d |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $51 | 2d |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 16¢ | $103 | 2d |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $103 | 2d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +104.0% | +84.6% | 100% | 100% | +84.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +104.0% | +84.6% | 100% | 100% | +84.6% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +104.0% | +84.6% | 100% | 100% | +84.6% |
| all | 1 | +104.0% | +84.6% | 100% | 100% | +84.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +84.6% | 100% | +84.6% |
| 10% | +66.9% | 100% | +66.9% |
| 15% | +50.8% | 100% | +50.8% |
| 20% | +36.0% | 100% | +36.0% |