Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:09:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99f1…dd35
sports · 423 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$136 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses206 / 215
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions2
Markets (closed)421 / 423
History coverage73d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 421 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 52¢ 84¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 46¢ 34¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$3 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$4 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% −$5
crypto 29% −$116
other 11% −$40
weather 2% −$24
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 49% -10.7%
≤30d 96 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 49% -10.7%
≤90d 421 -6.2% -15.2% 49% 41% -15.1%
all 421 -6.2% -15.2% 49% 41% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 41% -15.1%
10% -23.3% 32% -23.2%
15% -30.7% 26% -30.6%
20% -37.5% 22% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.33 · official $6.73 (match) · 1483 history records