trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 0% | 0% | -32.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 0% | 0% | -32.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -29.6% | -36.3% | 0% | 0% | -32.5% |
| all | 11 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 9% | 9% | -29.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.5% | 9% | -29.3% |
| 10% | -39.0% | 0% | -36.1% |
| 15% | -44.9% | 0% | -42.3% |
| 20% | -50.3% | 0% | -47.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 32¢ | 16¢ | $698 | $364 | −$334 (-48%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$11 | -21% |
| Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$4 | -9% |
| Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 20 | $51 | −$11 | -21% |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 20 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $84 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu | Jun 20 | $102 | −$4 | -4% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $482 | −$26 | -6% |
| Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 20 | $25 | −$8 | -32% |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 19 | $117 | −$115 | -98% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November? | Nov 09 | $101 | +$16 | +16% |