Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:18:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

99
0x99ed…9910
crypto · 53 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses41 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 53
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 71¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$5
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -4.8% -13.9% 79% 25% -16.5%
≤30d 52 -4.8% -13.9% 79% 25% -16.5%
≤90d 52 -4.8% -13.9% 79% 25% -16.5%
all 52 -4.8% -13.9% 79% 25% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 25% -16.5%
10% -22.1% 17% -24.5%
15% -29.7% 13% -31.8%
20% -36.6% 12% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.87 · official $0.87 (match) · 114 history records