trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -17.6% | -25.5% | 78% | 11% | -14.3% |
| all | 53 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 57% | 23% | -43.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.2% | 23% | -43.2% |
| 10% | -35.0% | 19% | -48.6% |
| 15% | -41.3% | 15% | -53.6% |
| 20% | -47.1% | 15% | -58.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 16 | $2 | +$1 | +33% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13? | May 13 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13? | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 13 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of February? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of February? | Apr 30 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 1 above $60? | Feb 14 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 25? | Dec 04 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Nov 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 5? | Nov 25 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Devils vs. Kings | Nov 04 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Utah vs. Oilers | Nov 02 | $36 | +$2 | +6% |
| TCU vs. West Virginia | Oct 29 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-10-23? | Oct 26 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) | Oct 18 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Arizona State vs. Utah | Oct 18 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 10? | Oct 11 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 9? | Oct 09 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Florida State | Oct 09 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Oct 05 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Oct 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-03? | Oct 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Verona win on 2025-10-03? | Oct 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Titans vs. Texans | Oct 01 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25? | Sep 28 | $2 | +$6 | +300% |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-24? | Sep 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24? | Sep 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19? | Sep 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Oilers | Sep 19 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Super Bowl LIX Winner | Sep 19 | $2 | +$2 | +108% |
| Coastal Carolina vs. UTSA | Dec 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? | Dec 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah be the next President of Namibia? | Dec 23 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Nets vs. 76ers | Dec 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Titans vs. Texans | Dec 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Dec 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Browns | Dec 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Bulls | Dec 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Wizards | Dec 02 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Chiefs vs. Panthers | Dec 02 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Warriors vs. Pelicans | Dec 02 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Lakers vs. Pelicans | Nov 20 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Hornets | Nov 20 | $3 | +$5 | +156% |
| Browns vs. Saints | Nov 20 | $4 | +$4 | +100% |
| Heat vs. Nuggets | Nov 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Nov 16 | $4 | +$7 | +186% |
| Broncos vs. Ravens | Nov 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |